Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 102.821589 117.342994 133.953971 154.532312 179.580158 209.392073 2.480366e+02
2025-04-13 81.808615 99.903326 122.646243 153.959136 196.992339 255.711052 3.450133e+02
2025-04-20 72.513827 92.742709 119.896093 160.279200 221.203659 314.129821 4.767087e+02
2025-04-27 67.623958 89.868355 121.430433 171.643845 254.119116 394.094663 6.768563e+02
2025-05-04 60.669298 82.807842 115.474992 170.055503 265.621260 442.018152 8.439200e+02
2025-05-11 55.902973 78.153362 112.174418 171.662419 282.383192 504.528424 1.079028e+03
2025-05-18 51.124582 72.831765 106.972038 168.906318 290.177413 551.585692 1.310272e+03
2025-05-25 47.887538 69.501179 104.463481 170.300921 306.186378 622.564571 1.669572e+03
2025-06-01 44.821528 66.094431 101.349690 169.946789 318.376547 689.577551 2.087688e+03
2025-06-08 41.825522 62.499620 97.466480 167.424269 325.139565 745.659213 2.536665e+03
2025-06-15 40.531144 61.607891 98.208395 174.170167 355.145671 882.748951 3.583335e+03
2025-06-22 37.520705 57.520257 92.713651 167.132322 349.588946 907.564796 4.080672e+03
2025-06-29 35.525437 55.216325 90.620488 167.817779 366.379797 1025.715964 5.578411e+03
2025-07-06 33.532198 52.774264 88.059350 167.218284 380.285224 1147.434452 7.677441e+03
2025-07-13 32.578212 52.097733 88.808917 174.284531 418.757012 1404.377941 1.307651e+04
2025-07-20 32.227170 52.478415 91.685507 187.017065 480.340504 1846.335056 2.870534e+04
2025-07-27 30.564234 50.245958 88.938636 185.235498 493.698012 2055.557727 4.589200e+04
2025-08-03 29.361341 48.791646 87.663003 187.037903 520.798939 2393.512726 9.141598e+04
2025-08-10 27.872384 46.669145 84.739133 183.946923 528.808395 2620.129127 1.654285e+05
2025-08-17 26.863009 45.412724 83.576605 185.510728 556.189933 3055.742156 4.753863e+05
2025-08-24 25.791227 43.954103 81.820976 185.113583 575.769804 3477.522737 1.839165e+06
2025-08-31 24.636130 42.251159 79.359969 182.285620 584.040195 3819.885298 1.155452e+07
2025-09-07 24.238644 42.057103 80.327485 189.852069 644.070510 4955.013384 NaN